Join Sportsbet And Get Free Bets Today – Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) celebrates a touchdown by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) during the second half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

• WR Tyreek Hill’s 6.5+ Reception (-115): There isn’t a player adjusting to the Chargers tonight who can even hope to lock Hill down in one-on-one coverage.

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• QB Tua Tagovailoa 22.5+ completions (-120): Tua tore through lower-ranked defensive units with a quick approach that resulted in high numbers of pass attempts and completions. That should be the expected game scenario again tonight.

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Expect the unexpected in this AFC showdown between two playoff hopefuls in what should be one of the most entertaining prime-time games of the season. Let’s dive into the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Los Angeles Chargers.

After entering the regular season as a modern-day Super Bowl favorite, the Chargers have once again turned into the team’s most tumultuous season and currently find themselves on the outside looking in.

The main reason is obvious: They are the most injured team in the NFL and haven’t seen any improvement from their offseason acquisitions on the defensive side of the football.

On the other hand, Miami potentially arrived ahead of schedule with Tua Tagovailoa having the highest passer rating in the NFL and the combination of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle looking like the best wide receiver duo in the NFL.

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The spread shows the two different paths the two teams have taken this year. The preseason differential fell to -5.5 in favor of the Chargers, but the expectation line showed a seven-point swing of +1.5. It didn’t stop there, as we’ve bounced between +3.5 and +3 all week, with the consensus number going into kick-off at +3.5.

The betting model has some value on the Chargers, but it looks like a place where better in-game distribution between key numbers could easily happen. If the Dolphins surge early, we should see a +7.5 draw, and given the Chargers’ success at at least making things interesting coming from behind, that could be a reasonable spot in the game.

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After being over his receiving yardage in seven of eight games to start the season, Hill has calmed down and is now eight-of-14 over that yardage. The hot start led to an increase of two receptions when his numbers were up to start the season, but using that in this offense will provide plenty of opportunities to rack up yards after the catch.

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More than 45% of his targets have come within nine yards of the line of scrimmage, and if you expect the Dolphins to ramp up early, we should see an increase in long transition-type plays from Tyreek Hill that counts as an accessory for this receiver.

In addition to his usage, it’s also a match-up game, with Hill having the third-best game of all wide receivers this week according to the WR/CB chart. Simply put, there isn’t a player adjusting to the Chargers tonight who can even hope to lock down Tyreek Hill in one-on-one coverage.

With Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel showing his ability to make plays every week, expect a lot of easy touches for Hill in every game scenario, making this prop the best place to play on Sundays.

For the second play, Tua Tagovailoa is stoned against the Chargers’ secondary on the play. Tua has played in four of 10 games this season, but since leaving through injury, the prop has been heavily game-dependent.

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Tua tore through lower-ranked defensive units with a quick, subdued approach that leads to a high number of pass attempts and completions. Again, this should be an expected game scenario and really just depends on the Chargers making enough offensive plays to keep this game competitive.

If that happens, Tagovailoa should easily eclipse that number of completion props given his adjusted completion percentage this year and a game that doesn’t trouble him. 7Cric is a new online casino launched at the end of 2022. Since its inception, 7Cric has quickly become the first choice of Indian players thanks to its many daily promotions and bonuses, huge game library and partnerships with global gaming companies. .

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